Trump Leads Across the Battleground States (2024)

You are here: Home / 2024 Campaign / Trump Leads Across the Battleground States

Members should sign in for the full experience.

By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New polls from YouGov show Donald Trump with small leads among registered voters in every swing state:

Interestingly, the Democratic candidate leads in every Senate race in these states:

Trump Leads Across the Battleground States (2)Trump Leads Across the Battleground States (3)Save to Favorites

Recent Posts

Kamala Harris Flips the Script on the Age Issue

July 24, 2024 at 10:00 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:45 am EDT

Dan Pfeiffer: “Even before the debate, Joe Biden’s age was the dominant issue in the campaign. It blocked out the sun — weighing down his approval and dividing his coalition….

Harris and Trump to Make Dueling Appearances

July 24, 2024 at 9:53 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 9:53 am EDT

Washington Post: “The dueling appearances are a chance for each candidate to frame the stakes of the race as it plunges into uncharted territory, with Trump no longer running against…

How Nancy Pelosi Got It Done

July 24, 2024 at 9:48 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 9:50 am EDT

The Bulwark: “Unknown at the time, Pelosi had spoken with Biden again that day—an 84-year-old woman using her power to urge an 81-year-old man to relinquish his. Her gambit was…

Britain and Germany Team Up on Defense

July 24, 2024 at 9:45 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 9:51 am EDT

“Europe’s two largest donors of military aid to Ukraine — Germany and Britain — are buddying up in a defense pact as fears grow that a victory for Donald Trump…

A Race Democrats Can and Must Win

July 24, 2024 at 9:00 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 8:31 am EDT

Hillary Clinton: “History has its eye on us. President Biden’s decision to end his campaign was as pure an act of patriotism as I have seen in my lifetime. It…

Kamala Harris Raised $126 Million in Three Days

July 24, 2024 at 8:26 am EDT

“Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign for president outlined her ‘path to victory’ against former President Donald Trump in a memo Wednesday, touting $126 million now raised since President Joe Biden…

Kamala Harris May Squash the Trump Bounce

July 24, 2024 at 8:13 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 8:16 am EDT

In the days after the Republican convention, it would be normal to expect Donald Trump to get a bounce in the polls. This was probably even more true after the…

Harris Embraces Unfinished Parts of Biden Agenda

July 24, 2024 at 7:36 am EDT

“Vice President Kamala Harris has used her first days as Democrats’ likely nominee for president to make it clear that she’ll pursue big — and expensive — parts of Joe…

Democrats May Walk Out on Netanyahu

July 24, 2024 at 7:35 am EDT

“Scores” of Democrats are expected to skip Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s address to Congress today — and some are planning to walk out in the middle of the speech,…

Biden’s Approval Hits All-Time Low

July 24, 2024 at 7:32 am EDT

A new Gallup poll finds President Biden with a 36% job approval rating in the month following his much-criticized debate performance, his lowest score to date. Save to Favorites

Trump Changes His Tune Slightly on Electric Vehicles

July 24, 2024 at 7:25 am EDT

“Donald Trump has spent years ridiculing electric vehicles, saying they don’t go far, are too expensive and are made in China. He has promised to end federal support for electric…

North Korea Does ‘Not Care’ About Trump

July 24, 2024 at 7:22 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:23 am EDT

“North Korea’s state media rebuffed comments that former President Donald Trump made about good ties with leader Kim Jong Un, saying “we do not care” and warned its nuclear arsenal…

Mike Johnson Pledges Visit to Israel

July 24, 2024 at 7:22 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:33 am EDT

Speaker Mike Johnson told Punchbowl News he plans to visit Israel after the 2024 election, adding that he would make the trip sooner but “can’t take three or four days…

New Voter Registrations Surge

July 24, 2024 at 7:21 am EDT

Playbook: “In the two days since Biden dropped out, Vote.org saw its highest levels of new voter registrations of the whole cycle: 38,500 people signed up, a 700 percent spike…

J.D. Vance Hits the Money Circuit

July 24, 2024 at 7:19 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:20 am EDT

Sen. J.D. Vance (R-OH) “is moving aggressively to raise money for the Republican presidential ticket, making fund-raising one of his earliest priorities as he seeks to convert his donor relationships…

New York Democrats Get Back to Electing Democrats

July 24, 2024 at 7:17 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:28 am EDT

“The New York State Democratic Committee is trying something new this year — working to elect Democrats in New York,” Politico reports. “After a brutal showing in 2022, top Democrats…

Election Officials Worry About the Post Office

July 24, 2024 at 7:16 am EDTJuly 24, 2024 at 7:26 am EDT

“State election directors from across the country voiced serious concerns to a top U.S. Postal Service official Tuesday that the system won’t be able to handle an expected crush of…

Tammy Murphy Doesn’t Want Senate Appointment

July 24, 2024 at 7:15 am EDT

“New Jersey first lady Tammy Murphy does not want her husband to appoint her to fill Bob Menendez’s soon-to-be vacant Senate seat,” Politico reports. “Murphy, who ran in the Democratic…

Unions Concerned About Mark Kelly as Veep

July 24, 2024 at 7:04 am EDT

Sen. Mark Kelly (D-AZ) has emerged as one of the possible names on Harris’ running-mate list, but he could face opposition from organized labor, ABC News reports. Save to Favorites

How Will Harris Distinguish Herself from Biden?

July 24, 2024 at 6:59 am EDT

Playbook: “It’s a task that has tripped up VP after VP over the decades: How do you forge your own message without running away from the administration you’ve been part…

« Some Thoughts on Donald Trump’s Pick of J.D. Vance

RFK Jr. Will Get Secret Service Protection »

About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

Praise for Political Wire

“There are a lot of blogs and news sites claiming to understand politics, but only a few actually do. Political Wire is one of them.”

— Chuck Todd, host of “Meet the Press”

“Concise. Relevant. To the point. Political Wire is the first site I check when I’m looking for the latest political nugget. That pretty much says it all.”

— Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the Rothenberg Political Report

“Political Wire is one of only four or five sites that I check every day and sometimes several times a day, for the latest political news and developments.”

— Charlie Cook, editor of the Cook Political Report

“The big news, delicious tidbits, pearls of wisdom — nicely packaged, constantly updated… What political junkie could ask for more?”

— Larry Sabato, Center for Politics, University of Virginia

“Political Wire is a great, great site.”

— Joe Scarborough, host of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe”

“Taegan Goddard has a knack for digging out political gems that too often get passed over by the mainstream press, and for delivering the latest electoral developments in a sharp, no frills style that makes his Political Wire an addictive blog habit you don’t want to kick.”

— Arianna Huffington, founder of The Huffington Post

“Political Wire is one of the absolute must-read sites in the blogosphere.”

— Glenn Reynolds, founder of Instapundit

“I rely on Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire for straight, fair political news, he gets right to the point. It’s an eagerly anticipated part of my news reading.”

— Craig Newmark, founder of Craigslist.

Trump Leads Across the Battleground States (2024)

FAQs

Who is leading in the swing states? ›

The survey released by Emerson College Polling and The Hill on Thursday found Trump leading Harris by 5 points in Arizona, 49 percent to 44 percent; by 2 points in Georgia, 48 percent to 46 percent; by 1 point in Michigan, 46 percent to 45 percent; by 2 points in Pennsylvania, 48 percent to 46 percent; and tied with ...

Which states are swing states for 2024? ›

July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin. New Emerson College Polling/The Hill polling in five swing states finds Vice President Kamala Harris trailing former President Donald Trump in four states, and tied in Wisconsin.

What are the battleground states? ›

These seven states —Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada— are widely considered to be very critical to the US election result. For context, Biden won all seven in 2020.

Who is leading in US presidential polls in 2024? ›

President: general election, 2024 AVG.
July 23-251,000Harris 47% Trump 49%
July 22-2411,297Harris 46% Trump 45%
July 22-242,137Harris 44% Trump 43%
July 22-241,492Harris 43% Trump 44% Kennedy 6% Stein 1% West 1%
July 22-241,687
21 more rows

What are the big six swing states? ›

Six of them - Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – appear to be on a knife edge and probably hold the key to who will take the White House. So both parties are campaigning intensively to win over undecided voters in these states.

What are the biggest swing state? ›

According to a pre-election 2016 analysis, the thirteen most competitive states were Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Arizona, Georgia, Virginia, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, North Carolina, and Maine.

Who are the leaders of Project 2025? ›

Project director Paul Dans served as chief of staff at the Office of Personnel Management during the Trump administration. Spencer Chretien, a former special assistant to Trump, serves as associate director.

What is a vice president? ›

Today vice presidents serve as principal advisors to the president, but from 1789 until the 1950s their primary duty was to preside over the Senate. Since the 1830s, vice presidents have occupied offices near the Senate Chamber.

Is Harris a Democrat? ›

A member of the Democratic Party, she served as a U.S. senator from California from 2017 to 2021 and the attorney general of California from 2011 to 2017.

What are the 5 requirements to be president? ›

The U.S. Constitution states that the president must:
  • Be a natural-born citizen of the United States.
  • Be at least 35 years old.
  • Have been a resident of the United States for 14 years.
Feb 22, 2024

What are swing states in the USA? ›

Most other (non-swing) states are seen as predictable or at least as leaning towards one party's candidate. That means candidate time and money is lavished on these swing states, which in 2024 include Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

What are the presidential odds? ›

Latest Election Odds
CandidateLatest Election OddsImplied % Chance
Donald Trump+12045.5%
Joe Biden+20033.3%
Nikki Haley+16005.9%
Michelle Obama+17005.6%
5 more rows

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Tish Haag

Last Updated:

Views: 5797

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (67 voted)

Reviews: 90% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Tish Haag

Birthday: 1999-11-18

Address: 30256 Tara Expressway, Kutchburgh, VT 92892-0078

Phone: +4215847628708

Job: Internal Consulting Engineer

Hobby: Roller skating, Roller skating, Kayaking, Flying, Graffiti, Ghost hunting, scrapbook

Introduction: My name is Tish Haag, I am a excited, delightful, curious, beautiful, agreeable, enchanting, fancy person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.